2/19 Aggregate Demand
- Aggregate demand (AD) -shows the amount of real GDP that the private, public & foreign sector collectively desire to purchase at each possible price level -the relationship between the price level & the level of real GDP is inverse
Three reasons AD is downward sloping:
1. Real-balance effect
- high price-level: households & firms can't afford to purchase as much output
- low price-level: households & firms can afford to purchase more output
2. Interest-rate effect
- higher price-level increases the interest rate (discourages investment)
- lower price-level decreases the interest rate (encourages investment)
3. Foreign purchases effect
- a higher price level increases the demand for relatively cheaper imports
- a lower price level increases the foreign demand for relatively cheaper us exports
Government Regulation
-Government regulation creates a cost of compliance = SRAS shifts left
-Government deregulation reduces compliance costs = SRAS shifts right
- The equilibrium of AD and AS determines current output (Real GDP) and price level (PL)
- Full employment equilibrium exists where AD intersects SRAR and LRAS (long run aggregate supply) at the same point
- Recessionary gap exists when equilibrium occurs below full employment output
- Inflationary gap exists when equilibrium occurs beyond full employment output
- LRAS represents full employment output
Shifts in Aggregate Demand (AD)
-there are two parts to a shift in AD:
1. change in consumption, investment, government purchases & net exports
2. a multiplier effect that produces a greater change then the original change in 4 components -increases in AD = AD → -decreases in AD = AD ← Determinants of AD: 1. Consumption: Consumer Wealth:
- more wealth: more spending (AD shifts →)
- less wealth: less spending (AD shifts ←)
-Consumer Expectations:
- positive expectations: more spending (AD shifts →)
- negative expectations: less spending (AD shifts ←)
-Household Indebtedness:
- less debt: more spending (AD shifts →)
- more debt: less spending (AD shifts ←)
-Taxes:
- less taxes: more spending (AD shifts →)
- more taxes: less spending (AD shifts ←)
2. Gross Private Domestic Investment:
-Real Interest Rate:
- lower real interest rate: more investment (AD shifts →)
- higher real interest rate: less investment (AD shifts ←)
- Expected Returns:
- higher expected returns: more investment (AD shifts →)
- lower expected returns: less investment (AD shifts ←)
- Expected returns are influenced by: expectations of future propensity, technology, dgree of excess capability, business tax
- Government Spending:
- more government spending (AD shifts →)
- less government spending (AD shifts ←)
-Net exports
Net exports are sensitive to
-Exchange Rates(international value of money)
- strong money : more import, few export (AD shifts →)
- weak money : fewer imports, more exports(AD shifts ←)
-Relative Income
- Strong foreign economies : (AD shifts →)
- Weak foreign economies: (AD shifts ←)
2/24 Consumption
-Disposable Income : income after taxes or net income
DI = gross income- taxes
1. Consume(Spend money on goods/ services)
2. Save(Not save money on goods/services)
-Consumption
1. Household Spending
2. The ability to consume is constrained by
- amount of disposable income
- propensity to save
3. Do households consume if DI=0?
- autonomous consumption
- dissavings
-Savings
1. Household not spending
2. Ability to save is constrained by
- amount of disposable income
- propensity to consume
3. Do households save if DI = 0?
*NO
-APS= S/DI = %DI
-Average propensity to consume/save
- APC+APS=1
- 1-APC=APS
- 1-APS=APC
- APC>1= Not saving
- -APS = Not saving
-Marginal Propensity to consume
- Change in consumption/change in disposable income
- % of every extra dollar earned that is spent
-Marginal propensity to save
- Change in savings/ change in disposable income
- % of every extra dollar earned that is saved
Formulas
- MPC+MPS = 1
- 1-MPC= MPS
- 1-MPS=MPC
-Determinants of C/S
- wealth
- expectation
- taxes
- household debt
-The spending multiplier effect: an initial change in spending causes a large change in aggregate spending or demand.
*multiplier = change in AD/ change in spending
*multiplier = change in AD/change in expenditure
-Calculating the spending multiplier
Multipliers are positive when there is an increase in spending and negative when there's decrease.
-Calculating the tax multiplier
- When the government taxes, multiplier work in reverse
- Because money is leaving circular flow
- always negative
- -MPC/1-MPC
- -MPC/MPS
If there is a tax cut, then multiplier is positive because there is more money in the circular flow.
2/24 Investment
-Investment is money spent on expenditures on:
- new parts (factories)
- capital equipment (machinery)
- technology (hardware and software)
- new homes
- inventories (goods sold by producers)
Expected rate of Returns
-How does business make investment decisions?
-How does business determine the benefits?
-How does business determine the cost?
-How does business determine the amount of investment they undertake?
- compare expected rate of return to interest cost
- if expected rate of return is greater than the interest cost, then invest
- if expected rate of return is less than the interest cost, then don't invest
Real (r%) v. Nominal(i%0
-What's the difference?
- nominal is the observable rate of interest
- real subtracts out inflation and is only known ex post facto
-How do you compute real?
- real = nominal - inflation
-Real interest rate determines the cost of an investment decision
Investment Curve ID
-What is the shape?
- when interest rates are higher, fewer investments are profitable
- when interest rates are lower, more investments are profitable
-Shifts in ID
- cost of production
- business taxes
- technological change
- stock of capital
- expectations
2/27 Fiscal Policy
-Fiscal Policy- changes in the expenditure or tax revenues of the federal government-2 tools of fiscal policy:
- taxes- government can increase or decrease taxes
- spending- government can increase or decrease spending
*when one increases, the other decreases-Fiscal policy is enacted to promote our nation's economic goals which are:
Deficits, Surpluses, and Debts-Balanced Budget
-Budget Deficit
-Budget Surplus
-Government debt = sum of all deficits - sum of all expenditures-Government must borrow money when it runs a budget deficit
- individuals (through taxes)
- corporations (through taxes)
- foreign entities/foreign governments
Discretionary Fiscal Policy-Discretionary FP (government takes action)- increase or decrease in taxes or government spending-Consists of:
- expansionary fiscal policy (think deficit)
- strategy for increasing GDP, combating recession, and reducing unemployment
- recession is countered with expansionary FP
- increase in government spending
- if PL increased, this means expansionary FP creates some inflation
- contractionary fiscal policy (think surplus)
- inflation is countered with contractionary policy
- decrease in government spending
- unemployment rate increased, this means it is contractionary
Non-Discretionary Fiscal Policy-Non-Discretionary FP (government takes no action)
- unemployment compensation
-Automatic or Built-in stabilizer- anything that increases its budget surplus during inflation without requiring action from policy makers
- example: transferred payments, social security, unemployment compensation
Tax Systems
-Progressive tax rate:average tax rate rises with GDP
- Proportional tax rate: remains constant as GDP changes
- Regressive tax system : Average tax rates fall with GDP